Nuño Sempere: Forecasting and the grain of truth problem

​Newspeak House welcomes Nuño Sempere, a researcher and top forecaster. He currently leads Sentinel, a team aiming to foresee and mitigate large-scale catastrophes.

​He is interested in discussing the "grain of truth" problem, i.e., whether and how one can make forecasts in domains where you might not be able to think about the correct hypothesis beforehand.

​Nuño is also open to discussion other forecasting topics, like forecasting software, Fermi estimation, the forecasting industry, etc. according to audience preference.

​Before/after the talk, you are very welcome to join our weekly community dinner Ration Club, but please register: newspeak.house/rationclub