Cover Image for Bet on Love: The Prediction Market Dating Show
Cover Image for Bet on Love: The Prediction Market Dating Show
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Bet on Love: The Prediction Market Dating Show

Hosted by Manifold
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About Event

Bet on Love

is the world's first ever prediction market dating show, hosted by Manifold, featuring the ever-glamorous and ever-rational....

Aella as our star bachelorette

along with six handsome, strapping, and well-endowed (in mana)...

Contestants predicted by the market

whose odds of winnings you can bet on here.

​Created by The Classics Department

Original music by Tim Blais & Bashu

About the show

​Join us on a surreal musical odyssey of romance and live betting.

Six lucky contestants will vie for the chance to go on a date with Aella, our glamorous bachelorette. Conducted by an enigmatic, freestyling MC (Duncan Horst), a battery of creative challenges will test the full extent of our bachelors’ physical, social, and intellectual mettle.

A multitude of live prediction markets will track — and maybe even influence — each of the show’s many surprises. Audience participation is the name of the game! Bet on the markets and create your own to win mana and support your favorite contestants!

With live original music by Tim Blais and Bashu, Bet on Love will be the wild, what-the-fuck-happened theatrical event your friends will be talking about for weeks. Discover Aella’s preferences and help her find some new ones! Win mana through your superforecasting prowess! Laugh, cry, and bargain with the unrelenting specter of death! Anything could happen at Bet on Love.

​Doors open at 6:30.​

Note that this performance will be R-rated. You can expect song and dance, frank discussion of sexuality, the sacred and the profane, some rowdy characters, and some disturbing imagery.


There will be an accompanying livestream of the show on YouTube.

We are also looking for co-streamers to broadcast the show. Please reach out to if interested.


The Agency: Be Part Of Our Launch

Beeminder: Commitment contracts + Quantified Self


Director: Morgane Ciot

Writers: Morgane Ciot, Alice Maynwaring, Tom Low, Duncan Horst, Tim Blais, and Bashu

Master of Ceremonies: Duncan Horst

Musicians: Tim Blais and Bashu

Producers: Alice Maynwaring and Morgane Ciot

Executive Producer: Stephen Grugett 

Videographers: Vincent Woo & Crew

Volunteering & student discounts

If you're interested in volunteering for the show (as an usher or extra) and getting a free ticket (and possibly free mana), please reach out to

Students, seniors (65+), and people who are currently unemployed may also reach out to the above email to get discounted tickets.

Hosted by

Manifold — The world's largest prediction market platform. Trade politics, tech, sports, and more. Or create your own play-money market on any topic you can imagine.


Manifold Love — OkCupid meets prediction markets! Bet on who would date who for at least 6 months. It's crowdsourced matchmaking!

A special thanks to The Alembic in Berkeley for letting us use their space to rehearse!

Brava Theater Center
2781 24th St, San Francisco, CA 94110, USA
Hosted By
315 Going