Running the Numbers: Why the Lucky Catch event in Merge Mansion is Unbeatable

​In this webinar, we will explore how we used Machinations and Monte Carlo simulations to model and test the Lucky Catch event from Merge Mansion. We will also explore the results we obtained, the conclusions drawn, and how we came to these.
Merge Mansion is the most popular merge game in the world. Its Lucky Catch event is a long-running minigame that challenges the player to collect fish over a four-day period. Our Machinations model validates the experience of many players, who say the event is impossible to complete.

Agenda
Why We Ran This Simulation – Investigating if Lucky Catch is truly unbeatable.
How We Built the Model – Using Machinations to simulate the event mechanics.
What the Simulations Reveal – The time, cost, and odds of completion.
Key Insights & Takeaways – What this means for players and game design.
Q&A – Open discussion and audience questions.