Cover Image for Prediction Markets 101
Cover Image for Prediction Markets 101
Avatar for Applied Rationality Toronto
Approaching complex topics with compassion, nuance, and mindfulness.
34 Went
Registration
Past Event
Welcome! To join the event, please register below.
About Event

Welcome to an interactive session on prediction markets! This beginner-friendly session is split into two parts:

First Half – Understanding Prediction Markets: Learn how prediction markets work as tools for forecasting future events. We'll explore the basics of how these markets aggregate information from diverse sources, why they're often more accurate than traditional forecasting methods, and how to interpret market rates as probability estimates.

Second Half – Hands-On Prediction Making: Put your new knowledge to work! Participate in creating actual predictions for the remainder of 2025. From political outcomes to technological developments, you'll practice evaluating evidence, setting confidence levels, and making informed bets on future events.

No prior experience necessary – just bring your curiosity and willingness to think about the future in a structured way. Leave with a new skill for making better forecasts in your personal and professional life!

Location
30 Adelaide St E
Toronto, ON M5C 3G8, Canada
Enter the main lobby of the building and let the security staff know you are here for the Rationality meetup. You may need to show your RSVP on your phone. You will be directed to the 12th floor where the meetup is held. If you have trouble getting in, email abisola.olaniyi@gmail.com.
Avatar for Applied Rationality Toronto
Approaching complex topics with compassion, nuance, and mindfulness.
34 Went